100 year weather cycle Raymond P. Wheeler Jan 27, 2013 11:38:52 GMT -6
Post by jeffolie on Jan 27, 2013 11:38:52 GMT -6
100 year weather cycle Raymond P. Wheeler
Raymond H Wheeler
Most of the material that we have about Wheeler is found in the book
Climate: The Key To Understanding Business Cycles by Raymond Wheeler, (Revised & Edited by Michael Zahorchak).
This volume summarizes Raymond H. Wheeler's extensive research with long climatic cycles and their relationship to the business cycle. In the 1930's Wheeler began a lifetime study that analyzed world climate and cultural activities back to the dawn of recorded civilization.
Wheeler was also the creator of a huge volume known as "The Big Book" which was housed at the Foundation for the Study of Cycles until the late 1990s.
Wheeler corresponded with Dewey, and observed on one occasion that often cycles were found with similar numerical values for their periods even though in different units. This may be seen as equivalent to Dewey's proportions of 2 and 3 and products of these, because that will link from months to years for example.
Wheeler's Weather Cycles by Robert A. Nelson
Professor Raymond P. Wheeler (University of Kansas) compiled 20 centuries of historical records, and concluded from his studies that there exists a most important 100-year-cycle of climatic changes that influences human affairs in a profound manner.
The cycle occurs in four distinct phases, which are descriptive of worldwide conditions rather than specific areas. The four phases are disturbed by secondary leads and delays --- as much as 10 years --- in isolated and widely separated areas.
Prof. Wheeler stated:
"The climatic curve is intended to represent --- as far as one curve can --- the weather trend in the world as a whole at any one time. The curve has no absolute significance. The meaning of the curve at any one time is relative to the pattern of the 100-year old cycle as a whole."
The 100-year weather cycle and its phases are not of precisely equal duration. The cycle can contract to 70 years or expand to 120. The cycle is divided into a warm and a cold phase, each of which has a wet and dry period. Because people are affected by weather, the cycles of weather produce similar patterns of behavior and events in history during the same phases of the century-long weather cycle. The phases are: (1) Cold-Dry, (2) Warm-Wet, (3) Warm-Dry, and (4) Cold-Wet. We are now in a cold-dry phase, which will prevail until about 2000 A.D.
Dr. Wheeler extended his research to reveal a continuous, universal cultural pattern of "mechanism" alternating with "humanism" that occurs throughout history synchronously with the 100-year weather cycle. During the warm and humanistic phases of the historical weather cycle, emphasis is placed on holistics: the whole person's relationship to the world and society, basic laws of nature, modernistic art and architecture, and political "statism" emphasizing nationalism, the welfare of the nation over that of individuals. In the extreme case, dictatorships and other "absolute" forms of tyrannical government emerge, including communism and socialism. Major international wars come to pass during every warm phase of the 100-year weather cycle, when nations are powerful enough to wage such wars. During the emergence of the holistic trend, this statism degenerates into despotism in its many forms. The warm weather effectively decreases human energies and birthrates, and eventually brings about economic depression and social dependence that cannot support a war effort. Aristocratic forms of social organization prevail, rather than democracy. Warm weather produces luxury, small families, "golden ages", and "classical" literature and art. Business booms at the end of a warm cycle, when temperatures are falling and a cold-wet phase is about to begin. Depression sets in thereafter. Such a scenario was last in effect in 1975.
Continues at www.cyclesresearchinstitute.org/wheeler.html