Post by jeffolie on Jun 30, 2012 17:06:26 GMT -6
[hattip to bart] bart posted
US Carbon Output Forecasts Shrink Again
THE PROBLEM IS, THE WAY WE DID IT PROVIDED INSUFFICIENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR GRAFT
Much to the surprise (and, one suspects, the chagrin) of the deranged doomsaying wing of the environmental movement, new forecasts of US CO2 emission are out and they point to an even steeper drop than the last set of predictions.
No cap and trade, no huge new taxes on oil, no draconian driver restrictions, no air conditioning bans, no rationing — and the US is on track to cut its CO2 emissions 17 percent below the 2005 levels by 2020 — and to keep cutting our emissions levels beyond that.
And this news doesn’t come from embattled climate skeptics banished to the fringes of the scientific community; these numbers come from the Obama administration and are sitting right up on Don Lashof’s well respected blog at the National Resource Defense Council website. Take a look for yourselves.
So, to summarize, the United States of America basically blew the global greens off completely, trampling all over their carbon tax and cap and trade agendas, and earning wails and shrieks of hatred at the Rio+20 Summit — while making huge strides toward reducing CO2 emission levels.
It’s almost as if there is no connection between the green policy agenda and environmental progress.
pjmedia.com/instapundit/145810/[/quote]
I recall a misguided Rand study that the LA Dept. of Water & Power relied upon to forecast energy demand & buy or build electric plants that produce lots of CO2. The early forecast years were dead on with about a 7% per year growth rate and created a reliability reputation for the Rand study. The ridgid, anal engineers loved the accurate forecast because this meant hiring more engineers thus pyramiding the senior engineers into higher salaries as managing engineers for a bigger budget and large staff of subordinate engineers to supervise. Yes, 7% forever electrical growth was adopted and power plants planned, locations across the western US including Nevada, Utah, Arizona and Washington state were purchased or contracted for power plants with CO2 emissions/pollution capture equipments appropriate for the legal requirements of the times.
Reality ... 7% forever collapsed
The growth rate of Los Angeles declined, the industries and biggest electrical user left for greener pastures in other states .... the electrical demand fell flat to a small growth rate as people moved to LA barely making up for the loses of industries. Plans were changed. CO2 producing barely increased and then new car/truck pollution capturing tech reduced the number of stage 1 smog alerts from 60+ per year to zero last year. Less CO2, etc in LA which no longer ranks as the most smoggy city.
I call this failure: the failure of "straight line thinkers"
They assume no significant changes such as CO2 manufacturing shifting out of America leaving less polluting assembly work in America while China gags and grows children with mutations perhaps.
Change happens ... predicting that change will happen is fun as the rate of change has increased such as humans unable to do arithmatic from dependency on calculators/computers...ask L.A. kids today to perform some math in their heads alone without tech aids and watch them struggle.
US Carbon Output Forecasts Shrink Again
THE PROBLEM IS, THE WAY WE DID IT PROVIDED INSUFFICIENT OPPORTUNITIES FOR GRAFT
Much to the surprise (and, one suspects, the chagrin) of the deranged doomsaying wing of the environmental movement, new forecasts of US CO2 emission are out and they point to an even steeper drop than the last set of predictions.
No cap and trade, no huge new taxes on oil, no draconian driver restrictions, no air conditioning bans, no rationing — and the US is on track to cut its CO2 emissions 17 percent below the 2005 levels by 2020 — and to keep cutting our emissions levels beyond that.
And this news doesn’t come from embattled climate skeptics banished to the fringes of the scientific community; these numbers come from the Obama administration and are sitting right up on Don Lashof’s well respected blog at the National Resource Defense Council website. Take a look for yourselves.
So, to summarize, the United States of America basically blew the global greens off completely, trampling all over their carbon tax and cap and trade agendas, and earning wails and shrieks of hatred at the Rio+20 Summit — while making huge strides toward reducing CO2 emission levels.
It’s almost as if there is no connection between the green policy agenda and environmental progress.
pjmedia.com/instapundit/145810/[/quote]
I recall a misguided Rand study that the LA Dept. of Water & Power relied upon to forecast energy demand & buy or build electric plants that produce lots of CO2. The early forecast years were dead on with about a 7% per year growth rate and created a reliability reputation for the Rand study. The ridgid, anal engineers loved the accurate forecast because this meant hiring more engineers thus pyramiding the senior engineers into higher salaries as managing engineers for a bigger budget and large staff of subordinate engineers to supervise. Yes, 7% forever electrical growth was adopted and power plants planned, locations across the western US including Nevada, Utah, Arizona and Washington state were purchased or contracted for power plants with CO2 emissions/pollution capture equipments appropriate for the legal requirements of the times.
Reality ... 7% forever collapsed
The growth rate of Los Angeles declined, the industries and biggest electrical user left for greener pastures in other states .... the electrical demand fell flat to a small growth rate as people moved to LA barely making up for the loses of industries. Plans were changed. CO2 producing barely increased and then new car/truck pollution capturing tech reduced the number of stage 1 smog alerts from 60+ per year to zero last year. Less CO2, etc in LA which no longer ranks as the most smoggy city.
I call this failure: the failure of "straight line thinkers"
They assume no significant changes such as CO2 manufacturing shifting out of America leaving less polluting assembly work in America while China gags and grows children with mutations perhaps.
Change happens ... predicting that change will happen is fun as the rate of change has increased such as humans unable to do arithmatic from dependency on calculators/computers...ask L.A. kids today to perform some math in their heads alone without tech aids and watch them struggle.