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Post by unlawflcombatnt on May 7, 2016 10:51:33 GMT -6
www.yahoo.com/news/sanders-nets-31-delegates-washington-still-hard-road-142239569--election.htmlBernie Sanders closed the gap further with Clinton, after picking up an additional 49 delegates from Washington state. Sanders had already trounced Clinton in the March caucus, but the full delegate allotment was not allocated until after the Washington state convention. With the completion of the convention, Sanders was awarded an additional 49 delegates. What this really does, despite the media hype, is make it even harder for Clinton to get enough pledged delegates to win the primary before the Democratic Convention. And, once again, the Super Delegates do NOT count until at least the 1st vote at the convention.It is now nearly impossible for Clinton to win the Democratic nomination on pledged delegates alone. As of May 4th, Sanders had 1,417 delegates projects.fivethirtyeight.com/election-2016/delegate-targets/democrats/The addition of 49 delegates puts Sanders at 1,466 Delegates (1,417 + 49). He also picked up 3 delegates in Guam, putting his total at 1,469 delegates.
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Post by unlawflcombatnt on May 7, 2016 11:23:49 GMT -6
Though pledged delegate totals vary somewhat between different news sources, a rough estimate indicates Clinton would need to win over 3/4 of the remaining delegates to sew up the nomination prior to the convention.
Clinton would need to win approximately 677 of the remaining pledge-able delegates of approximately 878.
A rough estimate goes something like this. Clinton has 1,706 pledged delegates Sanders has 1,469. There are 712 non-pledge-able Super Delegates.
Total delegates, both pledge-able & Super Delegates = 4765. 4,765 - 712 super delegates = 4,053 pledge-able delegates.
4,053 - 1,706 - 1469 = 878 remaining pledge-able delegates.
The total needed to win is 2,383
2,383 - 1,706 pledged Clinton delegates = 677 delegates still needed
878 - 677 = 201 delegates
If Sanders wins jut 202 delegates of the remaining 878, he prevents Clinton from winning before the convention.
Again, Clinton has virtually NO chance of winning enough pledged delegates before the convention.
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Post by unlawflcombatnt on May 13, 2016 15:02:14 GMT -6
The latest tally on pledged Democratic primary delegates from FiveThirtyEight is as follows:
As of May 11th
Clinton: 1,715 pledged delegates won Sanders: 1,439 pledged delegates won
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Post by ULC on May 19, 2016 13:31:55 GMT -6
Sanders now has 1,499 Pledged delegates. There are 712 Superdelegates who are NOT counted until the convention The total of these two is 2,211. This is the number of delegates Clinton cannot win before the convention
Clinton needs 2,383 delegates to win 2,383 pledged delegates to win the primary before the convention (i.e., without the superdelegates.) As such, Sanders needs only to win 173 delegates of the remaining 750+ delegates to prevent Clinton from winning before the Democratic Convention
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Post by unlawflcombatnt on Jun 4, 2016 8:08:25 GMT -6
The Democratic pledged delegate now stands as follows:
Clinton 1,770 Sanders 1,500
It takes 2,383 total delegates to win the nomination.
There are ~781 pledged delegates remaining in the remaining primaries.
Clinton would need to win 613 of those 781 to clinch the nomination before the convention.
Sanders needs to win only 169 of those 781 to prevent Clinton from clinching it before the convention.
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