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Post by agito on Aug 19, 2010 19:07:11 GMT -6
i say there are greater odds of the MIC taking advantage of the koreas.
bonus- they won't even involve US personnell
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Post by agito on Aug 19, 2010 19:05:38 GMT -6
when did they set the options? if it was before the july bull market- it's possible the options were set to be even were set to be even higher than the market actually is right now and they wouldn't have to manipulate at all.
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Post by agito on Aug 19, 2010 15:41:22 GMT -6
this is delusional.
I could very easily see 50,000 troops in mexico however, to satisfy the 'stimulus' intentions, and the MSM doing everything in it's power to make it out to be a war on the cartels.
you can even expect the military to work with the federales and have to undergo the same amount of backstabbing they suffer at the hands of afghanistans.
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Post by agito on Aug 17, 2010 23:00:46 GMT -6
don't even see the CDO's on an open market.
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Post by agito on Aug 17, 2010 22:59:28 GMT -6
I'm so disappointed in america right now.
Willing to pitch the bill of rights because......
....."it hurts our feelings!"
YOU BUNCH OF FUCKING PANSIES! go live in france- I hear they are banning minarets there.
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Post by agito on Aug 17, 2010 22:56:47 GMT -6
couple of problems with the methodology here UnLC.
1) you adjusted for inflation on the GDP, but you didn't for the dow. The DJIA does have multipliers and fudges, but everything is rooted back to the the dollar amount of the stocks, and those are affected by inflation as well.
2)jeffolie already mentioned that different stock companies have been switched out over that time span. However, the idea of the DJIA was to have a group of stocks that are representative of the market as a whole, so theoretically, they should be representatitive of overall GDP. But whether you actually believe the DJIA is representative of the GDP really just comes down to whether you place your faith in the people that choose those stocks.
3) and this one is the biggy: since the stocks are only 30 of over thousands, and since free markets distributed resources along a logarithmic curve, you could very easily have the dow jones increase %300 while the gdp (and presumptively- every other stock in the market) were cut by half. that's not realistic, but possible. Think monopolistic powers here.
So overall I'd say the DJIA is a bad reflection of the GDP (either of the world or of the US), and you can't assume the two will move in tandem.
Comparing the DJIA vs GDP for the time periods between 82 to 99, and 99 to present however, is very enlightening in regards to how much worker productivity doesn't mean shit to the markets (or to everyones 401k or invested pensions)
P/E is still the best way to determine stock valuation, and they are still bloated in my opinion.
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Post by agito on Aug 12, 2010 13:45:21 GMT -6
I meant "of age" prostitution- not underage prostitution you nit wit. I thought i used the term.... oh wait- I DID.
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Post by agito on Aug 8, 2010 21:13:25 GMT -6
bullshit- that will only drive the market to other sites- and worse- might build up those sites to be larger than craigslist, effectively giving you a craigslist by another name.
If you are really worried about underage prostitution, the only way to fight it down is to legalize or make "of age" prostitution more common place, which will result in it being cheaper as well as easier for participants to verify legitimacy- and making black market prostitution more expensive.
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Post by agito on Aug 7, 2010 17:01:00 GMT -6
somewhere in the lists of this forum I pulled apart a james pethokoukis piece- i think it was trying support Phill Gramm and the %10 corporate tax cut. anyhow- blogs.reuters.com/james-pethokoukis/ here is he quoting from himself for a news story. Of course, if what he is talking about actually is real.... then axelrod and emmanuel really are morons and I hope the public doesn't swallow it.
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Post by agito on Aug 5, 2010 18:33:28 GMT -6
yeah- I thought about you jeff when I was watching CNBC cover this story this morning.
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Post by agito on Aug 4, 2010 21:29:10 GMT -6
QFT
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Post by agito on Aug 4, 2010 21:24:31 GMT -6
or more appropriately- not smarter than a monkey. littlegreenfootballs.com/article/36885_Video-_Monkeynomics the really intriquing stuff starts at about the 12 minute mark. Basically, there is evidence that when faced with the same economic choices, monkeys and humans do the same thing. What i don't like about the video is that it presents the choice as "irrational" behavior- but I'd argue that it's actually sensible behavior , especially for an animal reacting to a dynamic environment. Basically- it's easy to be risk adverse when faced with larger gains, because one's needs have been met. But it's difficult to be risk adverse when faced with losses if there is the possibility that the losses will cut into your SUSTAINABILITY. If the ramifications were simply having one more grape than usual- then it's easy to see the different approaches to their situation as "irrational"- but if one of the choices involves hunger and eventually death, than taking risks suddenly makes much more sense. it's an evolutionary reaction to our systems of pattern recognition. if something seems to work and give us more- we continue to do it. if something seems to not work and give us less- we have to find a new approach- we have to embrace a risk.
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Post by agito on Aug 4, 2010 2:16:27 GMT -6
"Printing one's way out of deflation is impossible as printing cannot keep pace with credit destruction (the net effect is contraction)"
... yeah- printing might not be a possibility- but revaluation (as jeffolie predicts) will be.
after that half the predictions get negated. - pensions for example will become relatively cheap- (and useless).
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Post by agito on Aug 1, 2010 18:32:40 GMT -6
an outsider cherrypicks a quote from a blog that has over 200k users and thinks it's representative of the whole site?
Michael Lumish fails at tardtoobin. Sadly, he will connect with other tardtube failusers, specifically the older jewish people who are still stuck in the old media.
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Post by agito on Jul 29, 2010 19:23:41 GMT -6
that's fuckin awesome jeff
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Post by agito on Jul 29, 2010 18:22:29 GMT -6
playing devil's advocate- it is only one country they are discussing here. (close to 1/6th of the worlds population is significant though)-
more importantly- they are using a monetary fix for a supply shock situation, those prices are going to go through the roof because of speculators. Those poor people are fucked. - expect some death, and then expect some really cheap grain- probably over the course of a year and a half.
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Post by agito on Jul 20, 2010 22:18:56 GMT -6
they could have done more with that video...
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Post by agito on Jul 20, 2010 22:11:53 GMT -6
you mean that once it crosses 9675 it's going to accelerate downward? or once it hits 9675 it's going to float there?
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Post by agito on Jul 20, 2010 22:10:28 GMT -6
I'm more in the camp of new cars being a better deal than an old car, ESPECIALLY if you know how to take care of your car.
The best way to get value out of a vehicle is to make it last. Period. The longer it lasts, the better the value.
Between doing that with a new car, and doing it with a year old car that has been in someone elses hands?- your odds are better doing it with a new car.
Exceptions: 1)You are a mechanic and can do the repairs yourself 2) the used car in question is coming from a relative
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Post by agito on Jul 19, 2010 22:29:08 GMT -6
yeah- this caught my attention as well. IF gold really was an inflation hedge- you'd think it would move counter to the DOW. seeing it in synch means the inflation protection isn't true, or this is something fishy going on (which i'm not going to rule out as much as I already believe gold is not protection against inflation).
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Post by agito on Jul 19, 2010 22:26:26 GMT -6
the 81 S & L crisis was a screw-up- they ironed out the kinks and 10 years later they were able to run a 17 year scam.
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Post by agito on Jul 19, 2010 22:23:30 GMT -6
man that's fucked up- thanks for sharing.
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Post by agito on Jul 18, 2010 16:04:49 GMT -6
nope
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Post by agito on Jul 13, 2010 21:12:08 GMT -6
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Post by agito on Jul 11, 2010 13:06:11 GMT -6
it's an alarmist article trying to provoke donations.
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Post by agito on Jul 9, 2010 12:20:55 GMT -6
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Post by agito on Jul 5, 2010 0:31:33 GMT -6
65 feet is close enough to get a pic of a boom. of course, if the oil is everyfuckinwhere, I could see it being difficult to NOT be within 65 feet of oil
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Post by agito on Jul 3, 2010 0:37:23 GMT -6
taking a chance on a three month prediction here, and keep in mind i'm just regurgitating crap that I hear.
I'm not big on the gold as an inflation hedge argument, but I do see it as a neutral currency, and as much as I think gold is already in a huge bubble, I think it is going to go up here over the next 2 or three months as the euro reverses and reaches parity with the dollar. So if you see the euro continue to make gains, but don't want to bet the currency, you can ride the gold etf as it also inflates more with the scared sheep reacting to the turbulent american stock markets. (although i think you would get a better return just going with the euro).
However, this also means you would be wise to drop out of the indices when the euro's movement flatlines against the dollar, and before the bigger players start culling profits. And this play has no use of course for those that are going long on gold.
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Post by agito on Jun 29, 2010 21:29:40 GMT -6
this doesn't pass the smell test for me.
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Post by agito on Jun 29, 2010 21:27:36 GMT -6
LMAO -
"NIA's 'Gold and Silver Seller Reviews' feature was originally launched on January 14th and has become widely recognized in the industry as the premiere spot for precious metals investors to become educated about how online gold and silver coin and bullion dealers are rated in the categories of pricing, selection, shipping/processing, customer experience, and overall."
Of course they would say that on their own website.
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